Utilizing linear trend model and mathusian model in estimating

Thesis Bachelor of Science in Mathematics University of Rizal System-Morong 2019

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: This study entitled "UTILIZING LINEAR TREND MODEL AND MALTHUSIAN MODEL IN ESTIMATING THE NUMBER OF CHILDREN AT RISK IN ANTIPOLO CITY" was conducted during the academic year 2018-2019. The main purpose of the study is to estimate the future number of cases of children at risk in Antipolo City. To start, the researchers considered steps such as choosing the title and identifying the problem. The objective of the study is to gather and analyze the number of cases of children at risk in Antipolo City and to utilize it using forecasting linear trend model and Malthusian model. The researchers gathered the needed data from the City Social Welfare Development (CSWD) office in Antipolo City. After utilizing the said models, the researchers concluded that the number of children at risk in Antipolo City can be estimated using the given models and it will likely increase for the next five years. By virtue of the preceding summary of findings and conclusions, the researchers recommended that the study can be used as an input to the City Social Welfare Development Office of Antipolo City to at least minimize the number of children at risk and also, parallel study may be conducted using other mathematical model to determine the number of children at risk in other municipality.